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Population Risk Factors for Late-Stage Presentation of Cervical Cancer in sub-Saharan Africa

Tessa S Stewart, Jennifer Moodley, Fiona M Walter

Cancer Epidemiol. 2018 Apr;53:81-92.

PMID: 29414636

Abstract:

Background:
Cervical cancer is the most prevalent malignancy in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) with many women only seeking professional help when they are experiencing symptoms, implying late-stage malignancy and higher mortality rates. This ecological study assesses population-level exposures of SSA women to the numerous risk factors for HPV infection and cervical cancer, against late-stage presentation of cervical cancer.
Materials and method:
A literature review revealed the relevant risk factors in SSA. Open-access databases were mined for variables closely representing each risk factor. A proxy for late-stage presentation was used (ratio of incidence-to-mortality, IMR), and gathered from IARC's GLOBOCAN 2012 database. Variables showing significant correlation to the IMR were used in stepwise multiple regression to quantify their effect on the IMR.
Results:
Countries with high cervical cancer mortality rates relative to their incidence have an IMR nearer one, suggesting a larger proportion of late-stage presentation. Western Africa had the lowest median IMR (1.463), followed by Eastern Africa (IMR = 1.595) and Central Africa (IMR = 1.675), whereas Southern Africa had the highest median IMR (1.761). Variables selected for the final model explain 65.2% of changes seen in the IMR. Significant predictors of IMR were GDP (coefficient = 2.189 × 10-6, p = 0.064), HIV infection (-1.936 × 10-3, p = 0.095), not using a condom (-1.347 × 10-3, p = 0.013), high parity (-1.744 × 10-2, p = 0.008), and no formal education (-1.311 × 10-3, p < 0.001).
Conclusion:
Using an IMR enables identification of factors predicting late-stage cervical cancer in SSA including: GDP, HIV infection, not using a condom, high parity and no formal education.

Chemicals Related in the Paper:

Catalog Number Product Name Structure CAS Number Price
AP310456656 IMR-1 IMR-1 310456-65-6 Price
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